Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.005617 0.006202 0.006837 0.007579 0.008425 0.009364 0.010490
2025-10-05 0.004651 0.005452 0.006388 0.007575 0.009055 0.010859 0.013253
2025-10-12 0.004167 0.005081 0.006207 0.007718 0.009724 0.012343 0.016105
2025-10-19 0.003734 0.004690 0.005916 0.007632 0.010028 0.013338 0.018410
2025-10-26 0.003409 0.004389 0.005687 0.007573 0.010323 0.014314 0.020805
2025-11-02 0.003124 0.004106 0.005443 0.007448 0.010484 0.015089 0.022990
2025-11-09 0.002934 0.003932 0.005326 0.007482 0.010866 0.016227 0.025939
2025-11-16 0.002738 0.003731 0.005148 0.007398 0.011047 0.017052 0.028479
2025-11-23 0.002542 0.003513 0.004926 0.007221 0.011046 0.017562 0.030523
2025-11-30 0.002434 0.003415 0.004872 0.007297 0.011468 0.018850 0.034296
2025-12-07 0.002378 0.003389 0.004923 0.007547 0.012209 0.020811 0.039857
2025-12-14 0.002245 0.003236 0.004764 0.007427 0.012277 0.021511 0.042851
2025-12-21 0.002113 0.003082 0.004599 0.007296 0.012334 0.022246 0.046238
2025-12-28 0.002017 0.002979 0.004511 0.007294 0.012641 0.023554 0.051392
2026-01-04 0.001956 0.002926 0.004501 0.007429 0.013228 0.025552 0.058893
2026-01-11 0.001861 0.002813 0.004381 0.007348 0.013368 0.026583 0.064109
2026-01-18 0.001779 0.002715 0.004279 0.007291 0.013550 0.027740 0.070068
2026-01-25 0.001693 0.002607 0.004151 0.007173 0.013584 0.028548 0.075239
2026-02-01 0.001637 0.002546 0.004103 0.007204 0.013949 0.030239 0.083885
2026-02-08 0.001569 0.002460 0.004003 0.007125 0.014054 0.031285 0.090751
2026-02-15 0.001493 0.002356 0.003865 0.006955 0.013933 0.031712 0.095559
2026-02-22 0.001455 0.002317 0.003846 0.007029 0.014391 0.033813 0.107716
2026-03-01 0.001441 0.002320 0.003902 0.007266 0.015277 0.037327 0.127562